WxSim & WU Forecast Comparison

Weather Underground (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Updated: 25-11-20 at 5:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
25-11-20 10   10 0   3 6   7 1   1 5   7 0   1 5   6 0   -1
24-11-20 11 9.7 11 7 8.0 7 9   9 1   4 8   8 1   4 5   8 1   5
23-11-20 7 8.0 7 6 7.6 5 11 9.7 9 6 8.0 6 9   9 2   -1 8   6 1   -3
22-11-20 8 8.0 8 2 2.4 -1 8 8.0 7 6 7.6 4 11 9.7 11 6 8.0 7 8   9 3   2
21-11-20 11 11.0 11 4 4.9 6 8 8.0 9 1 2.4 4 8 8.0 6 7 7.6 6 11 9.7 12 8 8.0 8
20-11-20 10 10.2 8 9 9.6 8 11 11.0 10 4 4.9 3 8 8.0 8 3 2.4 3 8 8.0 7 8 7.6 7
19-11-20 8 7.9 7 -1 1.2 2 10 10.2 7 9 9.6 7 11 11.0 9 4 4.9 3 8 8.0 7 3 2.4 2
18-11-20 15 13.3 14 5 6.3 8 7 7.9 10 0 1.2 5 10 10.2 10 9 9.6 9 12 11.0 11 5 4.9 4
17-11-20 16 14.2 13 10 10.7 9 15 13.3 12 5 6.3 8 7 7.9 10 1 1.2 2 8 10.2 8 7 9.6 8
16-11-20 11 10.7 11 9 9.3 9 15 14.2 11 10 10.7 7 13 13.3 12 6 6.3 7 7 7.9 11 0 1.2 3
15-11-20 11 10.7 11 6 6.4 9 10 10.7 12 9 9.3 10 14 14.2 13 10 10.7 9 14 13.3 13 6 6.3 9
14-11-20 14 12.8 10 8 8.9 8 11 10.7 10 5 6.4 7 10 10.7 12 8 9.3 8 14 14.2 14 10 10.7 10
13-11-20 10 10.2 12 6 6.8 8 13 12.8 11 8 8.9 10 11 10.7 11 5 6.4 9 10 10.7 11 7 9.3 8
12-11-20 11 10.9 12 8 9.0 8 10 10.2 12 6 6.8 7 14 12.8 10 9 8.9 8 10 10.7 10 6 6.4 7
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 13 11 12 10 12 9 12 8 11 9 11 10 9 7 8 9
% Succ 100.0   84.6 92.3   76.9 100.0   75.0 100.0   66.7 100.0   81.8 100.0   90.9 90.0   70.0 80.0   90.0
Ave Error 0.6   1.0 0.9   1.5 0.5   1.6 1.1   2.0 0.5   1.3 0.8   1.2 0.8   1.1 0.9   1.1
Net Error 0.4   -0.2 -0.9   -0.4 0.2   -0.6 -1.1   -0.3 0.0   -0.4 -0.7   -0.4 -0.2   0.0 -0.6   0.0
Std Dev 0.6   0.8 0.5   0.8 0.5   0.8 0.4   1.0 0.4   0.6 0.4   0.4 0.6   0.9 0.7   0.5

Updated: 24-11-20 at 12:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
24-11-20 10   10 7   7 10   8 1   4 7   7 0   1 5   4 1   1
23-11-20 7 8.0 6 7 7.6 5 11   10 6   5 8   7 2   5 8   8 2   5
22-11-20 8 8.0 8 2 2.1 0 8 8.0 5 6 7.6 3 11   8 6   5 8   8 2   1
21-11-20 12 11.0 11 4 4.9 5 8 8.0 8 1 2.1 2 8 8.0 6 7 7.6 4 11   10 7   7
20-11-20 10 10.2 6 9 9.6 6 11 11.0 10 4 4.9 3 9 8.0 8 2 2.1 0 8 8.0 7 7 7.6 7
19-11-20 6 7.9 8 -1 1.2 1 10 10.2 7 9 9.6 7 11 11.0 9 4 4.9 2 8 8.0 7 4 2.1 5
18-11-20 15 13.3 13 5 5.0 9 7 7.9 10 0 1.2 4 11 10.2 9 9 9.6 9 12 11.0 10 5 4.9 7
17-11-20 15 14.2 14 10 10.6 9 15 13.3 13 5 5.0 9 7 7.9 10 -1 1.2 3 9 10.2 9 8 9.6 8
16-11-20 10 10.7 10 9 9.3 8 15 14.2 12 10 10.6 8 13 13.3 12 6 5.0 6 8 7.9 9 1 1.2 6
15-11-20 10 10.7 10 6 6.4 7 10 10.7 12 9 9.3 9 14 14.2 11 10 10.6 7 13 13.3 11 6 5.0 7
14-11-20 13 12.8 11 9 8.9 8 11 10.7 11 5 6.4 8 10 10.7 11 8 9.3 9 14 14.2 12 10 10.6 9
13-11-20 10 10.2 12 6 6.8 8 14 12.8 11 8 8.9 10 11 10.7 11 6 6.4 9 9 10.7 11 7 9.3 8
12-11-20 12 10.9 11 8 6.8 6 10 10.2 12 6 6.8 8 13 12.8 9 9 8.9 8 11 10.7 11 6 6.4 7
11-11-20 12 11.2 11 8 8.1 9 10 10.9 11 8 6.8 7 10 10.2 11 6 6.8 7 14 12.8 11 10 8.9 9
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 13 12 12 9 12 8 12 7 11 8 10 6 10 8 9 7
% Succ 100.0   92.3 92.3   69.2 100.0   66.7 100.0   58.3 100.0   72.7 90.9   54.5 100.0   80.0 90.0   70.0
Ave Error 0.8   0.9 0.6   1.5 0.6   1.4 0.9   1.9 0.4   1.5 0.8   1.8 0.6   1.2 1.0   1.8
Net Error 0.1   -0.6 -0.4   -0.5 0.1   -0.5 -0.7   -0.1 0.0   -0.9 -0.6   -0.8 -0.1   -0.9 -0.2   0.7
Std Dev 0.5   1.2 0.6   1.2 0.5   1.0 0.4   1.3 0.3   0.8 0.5   1.1 0.4   0.4 0.5   1.1

Updated: 24-11-20 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
24-11-20 7   6 10   9 1   3 7   6 1   0 5   6 1   1 6   6
23-11-20 7 7.6 6 11 8.0 11 6   7 9   9 1   5 8   8 1   1 6   4
22-11-20 2 2.1 -2 8 8.0 6 6 7.6 3 11 8.0 9 6   6 8   9 1   1 7   5
21-11-20 4 4.9 5 8 11.0 8 2 2.1 1 8 8.0 6 7 7.6 6 12 8.0 10 6   6 8   9
20-11-20 9 9.6 8 11 10.2 11 4 4.9 4 9 11.0 8 2 2.1 1 8 8.0 5 7 7.6 4 11 8.0 11
19-11-20 -1 1.2 -1 11 7.9 6 9 9.6 6 11 10.2 9 4 4.9 4 8 11.0 7 3 2.1 3 8 8.0 7
18-11-20 5 5.0 6 7 13.3 8 -1 1.2 1 10 7.9 7 9 9.6 7 12 10.2 9 4 4.9 4 9 11.0 7
17-11-20 10 10.6 11 15 14.2 15 5 5.0 10 7 13.3 11 -1 1.2 4 9 7.9 10 9 9.6 10 12 10.2 11
16-11-20 9 9.3 8 15 10.7 13 10 10.6 9 13 14.2 12 6 5.0 7 8 13.3 10 0 1.2 7 8 7.9 9
15-11-20 6 6.4 6 10 10.7 11 9 9.3 9 14 10.7 13 10 10.6 7 13 14.2 12 7 5.0 7 8 13.3 10
14-11-20 8 8.9 10 11 12.8 12 6 6.4 9 10 10.7 12 8 9.3 10 14 10.7 13 11 10.6 9 13 14.2 14
13-11-20 6 6.8 4 14 10.2 9 8 8.9 7 10 12.8 9 6 6.4 7 9 10.7 11 7 9.3 8 14 10.7 12
12-11-20 8 6.8 11 10 10.9 6 6 6.8 12 13 10.2 8 9 8.9 9 11 12.8 8 6 6.4 11 10 10.7 7
11-11-20 8 11.2 10 10 8.1 12 8 6.8 8 10 10.9 12 6 6.8 6 14 10.2 10 9 8.9 9 11 12.8 11
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 11 9 7 7 11 7 6 6 10 8 6 4 9 7 7 6
% Succ 84.6   69.2 53.8   53.8 91.7   58.3 50.0   50.0 90.9   72.7 54.5   36.4 90.0   70.0 70.0   60.0
Ave Error 0.9   1.7 2.3   2.3 0.8   2.4 2.2   1.9 0.8   1.5 2.5   2.3 0.9   2.1 1.9   2.0
Net Error -0.7   -0.6 0.4   -0.6 -0.6   0.0 -0.2   -1.0 -0.6   -0.4 0.1   -1.1 -0.3   0.6 -0.3   -0.8
Std Dev 0.6   1.3 1.7   1.5 0.6   1.5 1.6   0.8 0.5   0.9 1.4   0.7 0.4   1.5 1.4   1.0

Updated: 24-11-20 at 9:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° F Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
24-11-20 8   6 10   9 0   3 6   7 1   2 5   4 0   2 6   5
23-11-20 8 8.2 6 11 8.0 11 6   7 9   9 1   4 7   7 1   1 5   4
22-11-20 1 7.6 0 7 8.0 6 6 8.2 3 11 8.0 9 6   7 9   9 2   2 8   6
21-11-20 4 3.3 5 8 11.0 8 2 7.6 1 8 8.0 7 6 8.2 6 11 8.0 11 6   6 8   9
20-11-20 9 7.7 9 11 10.2 11 4 3.3 4 8 11.0 9 2 7.6 1 8 8.0 6 7 8.2 4 11 8.0 11
19-11-20 -1 9.6 -1 10 7.9 6 9 7.7 6 11 10.2 9 4 3.3 4 8 11.0 7 3 7.6 3 8 8.0 7
18-11-20 5 1.6 6 7 13.3 8 -1 9.6 1 10 7.9 7 9 7.7 7 12 10.2 9 4 3.3 4 8 11.0 7
17-11-20 10 6.9 11 15 14.2 14 5 1.6 7 7 13.3 10 0 9.6 4 9 7.9 10 9 7.7 9 12 10.2 11
16-11-20 10 13.0 9 15 10.7 13 10 6.9 8 13 14.2 13 6 1.6 9 8 13.3 11 1 9.6 3 9 7.9 9
15-11-20 7 9.3 6 10 10.7 10 9 13.0 9 15 10.7 13 10 6.9 7 13 14.2 12 6 1.6 7 7 13.3 10
14-11-20 9 6.4 9 11 12.8 11 6 9.3 8 10 10.7 12 9 13.0 10 14 10.7 13 10 6.9 8 14 14.2 12
13-11-20 6 10.2 6 14 10.2 10 9 6.4 8 11 12.8 11 5 9.3 7 10 10.7 12 9 13.0 8 14 10.7 11
12-11-20 8 7.4 9 10 10.9 11 6 10.2 8 13 10.2 11 9 6.4 10 11 12.8 11 5 9.3 8 10 10.7 11
11-11-20 8 9.3 10 10 11.2 12 8 7.4 9 10 10.9 12 6 10.2 7 14 10.2 10 9 6.4 9 10 12.8 11
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 5 4 7 9 3 6 6 10 2 3 6 5 3 4 5 6
% Succ 38.5   30.8 53.8   69.2 25.0   50.0 50.0   83.3 18.2   27.3 54.5   45.5 30.0   40.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 3.1   3.7 2.3   1.7 3.5   3.3 2.2   1.5 3.8   3.2 2.3   2.0 3.5   3.3 2.2   1.8
Net Error -1.3   -1.2 0.0   -0.6 -1.5   -1.6 -0.1   -0.4 -1.6   -1.1 0.1   -0.5 -1.1   -1.1 -0.4   -0.7
Std Dev 2.7   2.5 1.6   1.4 2.4   2.4 1.6   0.7 2.3   2.3 1.3   0.7 2.1   1.7 1.6   1.0